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The Four Point Four Percent


But there were also false prophets among the people, just as there will be false teachers among you. They will secretly introduce destructive heresies, even denying the sovereign Lord who bought them—bringing swift destruction on themselves. Many will follow their shameful ways and will bring the way of truth into disrepute. In their greed these teachers will exploit you with stories they have made up. Their condemnation has long been hanging over them, and their destruction has not been sleeping.  (II Peter 2:1-3) 

          The other day I saw something on Facebook about why there are crackpots that associate themselves with a respectable group of people. Of course, if you pick any respectable group of people, there will be those who say that they are not respectable, that the whole group is nothing but crackpots and lunatics, but I don't believe that's true.  Statistically speaking, 68.2% of people fit into what might be considered the norm. Yes, they're "normal." Another 27.2% fall within the next bracket. Pareto said that 20% of the people do 80% of the work. Very likely, that 20% comes from the 27.2% bracket. I'm tentatively going to call them leaders. Of the remaining, 4.2% fall into a third  category, and 0.2 into a fourth, each more extreme than the category before it. 
         With those statistics in mind, here's another consideration. The more influential or inspiring, the  more powerful or active, or the more well-known a group is, the more likely it is to attract people who are seeking power, significance, inspiration, purpose, riches or fame.
          What does this mean for us? It means that of course there are going to be lunatics and crackpots claiming Christianity, Islam, Atheism, Liberalism, Conservatism, and any other -ism you can think of. There will be crackpots and lunatics among guns rights advocates, civil rights (or civil privilege) advocates (including BLM and the various LGBT groups), ecological advocates, Pro-Life or Pro-Abortion advocates, and any other rights advocates you may think of. It's easy to identify any group based on the third and fourth categories, or even based on the more extreme of the "Leaders," but the vast majority of any group is made of people you would probably consider fairly normal, or "fairly normal except that one little eccentricity."
          Peter warned us of the third and fourth category folks. He told us there would be false prophets and false teachers. The first thing we need to do is to know what the group in question really, really, really stands for, so that we can tell when someone is not really part of it. The next thing we need to do is to figure out what to do about those who aren't part of us but who are likely to be seen as our spokesperson. We must expect such people to exist, but I know I haven't been cautious enough about attributing to a whole group the characteristics of the crackpots and lunatics.
         Peter says that many will follow false teachers and their made up stories, but their destruction will be swift. As I think back, it seems to me that there are quite a few stories of "big names" who seemed to be on top of the world, whose careers, ministries or lives came crashing down around them because they lived at the extremes...they were part of that 4.4%. 

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On The Calendar:
Constitution Day
In The Sky:
Harvest Moon (Moonrise 7:37 EST in Erie, PA)

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